Heracles vs De Graafschap Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Sep 2026

📅04/09/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.47
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
5W-0D-1L
AWAY De Graafschap
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
298 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2025 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-2 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOK
07.04.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 5-3 HT 2-2 Heracles Heracles HOL2
07.10.2022 Heracles Heracles 3-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
30.03.2019 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-2 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
21.09.2018 Heracles Heracles 4-0 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL
23.01.2016 Heracles Heracles 2-1 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL
PREVIEW Heracles vs De Graafschap
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Heracles start as strong favourites on our numbers; De Graafschap's job is to make the game ugly early.

De Graafschap's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles have the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Heracles against 1.50 for De Graafschap.

Heracles vs De Graafschap Kick-off Time

Heracles play De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/09/2026, kick-off 21:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Heracles vs De Graafschap Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Heracles vs De Graafschap is a Heracles win at about 68% probability, priced 1.47 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Heracles 68%, draw 17%, De Graafschap 16%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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