Alcoyano 2-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.18
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.46/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.05
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
2-1
AWAY Marbella
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano edged past Marbella 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alcoyano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcoyano had 46% of the ball to Marbella's 54%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Marbella?

Alcoyano 2-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 41%, draw 30%, Marbella 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcoyano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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