Amorebieta 0-2 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.59
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -38%
1.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.86
+13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.10.2022 Amorebieta Amorebieta 3-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
06.02.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-3 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
07.11.2020 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 HT 2-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
29.02.2020 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-1 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
12.10.2019 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 3-3 HT 0-2 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
0-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
42% Ball Possession 58%
1 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II saw off Amorebieta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Athletic Bilbao II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amorebieta had 42% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 58%, shots finished 1-21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Amorebieta and 1.80 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Amorebieta 0-2 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 36%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao II 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amorebieta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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