Atalanta II 1-3 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.34/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.97
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
15.09.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 3-2 HT 2-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-3
AWAY GIANA Erminio
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio beat Atalanta II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 59% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 41%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atalanta II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atalanta II and 1.00 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs GIANA Erminio?

Atalanta II 1-3 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 41%, draw 29%, GIANA Erminio 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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