Rimini 0-1 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Oct 2024

Rimini
0-1 HT 0-1
SPAL
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.46/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.33
+20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rimini
1W-0D-1L
AWAY SPAL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 SPAL SPAL 3-1 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
06.11.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-0 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
0-1
AWAY SPAL
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Rimini vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SPAL squeezed past Rimini 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day SPAL made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Rimini had 47% of the ball to SPAL's 53%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rimini and 1.50 for SPAL.

What was the final score of Rimini vs SPAL?

Rimini 0-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated an SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rimini 35%, draw 27%, SPAL 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SPAL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SPAL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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