Colo Colo 1-0 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.54/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.01
-3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
19.7 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colo Colo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY U. Catolica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.06 xG 0.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
258 Passes 221
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-1 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
01.10.2023 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
20.08.2023 Colo Colo Colo Colo 1-0 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
17.08.2023 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİLİK
15.04.2023 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
05.10.2022 Colo Colo Colo Colo 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colo Colo
1-0
AWAY U. Catolica
0.80 xG 0.30
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
448 Passes 163
87% Pass Accuracy 64%
32 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colo Colo vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colo Colo edged past U. Catolica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colo Colo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Colo Colo had 67% of the ball to U. Catolica's 33%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 0.80 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colo Colo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Colo Colo and 0.17 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Colo Colo vs U. Catolica?

Colo Colo 1-0 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colo Colo vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Colo Colo 54%, draw 26%, U. Catolica 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colo Colo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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