U. Catolica 0-1 Colo Colo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.75
Over 2.5
36%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.85
No
63%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
25%
+12.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
48%
-13.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
50%
-13.1pp
63%
BTTS No
50%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 52%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.63/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.00
-56% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
220 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
9.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.3 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Colo Colo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.68 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
222 Passes 270
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
20.08.2023 Colo Colo Colo Colo 1-0 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
17.08.2023 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİLİK
15.04.2023 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
05.10.2022 Colo Colo Colo Colo 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
24.04.2022 U. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
0-1
AWAY Colo Colo
0.49 xG 1.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
191 Passes 213
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
9 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Colo Colo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colo Colo nicked a narrow win over U. Catolica 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Colo Colo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, U. Catolica had 48% of the ball to Colo Colo's 52%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.49 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colo Colo led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for U. Catolica and 0.67 for Colo Colo.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Colo Colo?

U. Catolica 0-1 Colo Colo in the Chile - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Colo Colo?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 38%, draw 28%, Colo Colo 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (U. Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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