Huachipato 2-1 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+13.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.2pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.28/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.42
-22% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
26.8 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 247
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2020 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
05.09.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
05.05.2019 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
03.11.2018 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
28.04.2018 Huachipato Huachipato 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
25.09.2017 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
2-1
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.14 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
237 Passes 226
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato squeezed past Deportes Iquique 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huachipato as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huachipato had 52% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.14 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Iquique led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Huachipato and 1.17 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Deportes Iquique?

Huachipato 2-1 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 41%, draw 30%, Deportes Iquique 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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