Palestino 2-2 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.84/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.18
+40% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.1 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.00 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
06.02.2023 Palestino Palestino 2-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
15.09.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-2 HT 0-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
17.04.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
22.10.2021 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
05.06.2021 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
2-2
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.51 xG 0.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
223 Passes 259
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino and Universidad Chile shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Palestino had 48% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 52%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.51 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Palestino and 0.33 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Universidad Chile?

Palestino 2-2 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Palestino 38%, draw 26%, Universidad Chile 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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