Karlsruher SC 3-3 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.18
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
19%
4.4
X/2
9%
9.52
X/X
11%
5.8
2/1
9%
20.9
2/2
9%
6.41
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.70/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.71
-14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
25.9 Crosses 18.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.79 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
294 Passes 334
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
15.10.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
15.01.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-2 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
30.07.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
26.02.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
01.11.2020 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-4 HT 2-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
3-3
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.53 xG 2.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
313 Passes 442
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt 98 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Karlsruher SC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 43% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 57%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.53 to 2.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt 98?

Karlsruher SC 3-3 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 49%, draw 25%, Darmstadt 98 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlsruher SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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