Paderborn 3-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2024

Paderborn
3-0 HT 1-0
Jahn Regensburg
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Paderborn vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.74
Over 2.5
52%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.6
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
25%
2.5
6+ Goals
11%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.95
X/1
13%
3.87
X/2
7%
15.4
X/X
9%
8.09
2/1
9%
19.15
2/2
9%
10.25
2/X
6%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
33%
+15.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
67%
-15.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.6pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paderborn v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.09/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.68
+17% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.6 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Paderborn vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 0.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
367 Passes 227
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
10.09.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 3-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
20.03.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
15.10.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 1-1 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
26.02.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
31.10.2020 Paderborn Paderborn 3-1 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Paderborn 3-0 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
3-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.54 xG 0.45
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
573 Passes 160
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn ran out comfortable winners over Jahn Regensburg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Paderborn had 74% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 26%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.54 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paderborn and 0.83 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Jahn Regensburg?

Paderborn 3-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 56%, draw 23%, Jahn Regensburg 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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