Dinamo Brest 1-2 Slutsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
11.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.2pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Slutsk EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
2.56/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.70
+47% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slutsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Slutsk Slutsk 1-4 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
26.08.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-1 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
15.04.2023 Slutsk Slutsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
12.11.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
17.07.2022 Slutsk Slutsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
11.09.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
1-2
AWAY Slutsk
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs Slutsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slutsk squeezed past Dinamo Brest 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Brest at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 58% of the ball to Slutsk's 42%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.00 for Slutsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs Slutsk?

Dinamo Brest 1-2 Slutsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs Slutsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 50%, draw 27%, Slutsk 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Brest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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