Operario PR 3-2 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 Oct 2024

Operario PR
3-2 HT 1-1
Chapecoense
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Operario PR vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.44
Over 2.5
29%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.0
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.61
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
71%
Under 2.5
66%
+5.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
34%
-5.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.5pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Operario PR v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
1.10/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.44
-19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
21.7 Crosses 14.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Operario PR vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.46 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.06.2024 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
08.10.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
28.06.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
25.01.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
24.10.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2

Operario PR 3-2 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
3-2
AWAY Chapecoense
1.93 xG 1.10
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
417 Passes 123
83% Pass Accuracy 58%
39 Box Touches 5
43 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR nicked a narrow win over Chapecoense 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Operario PR as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Operario PR had 70% of the ball to Chapecoense's 30%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.93 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Operario PR had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Operario PR and 0.60 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Chapecoense?

Operario PR 3-2 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 45%, draw 32%, Chapecoense 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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