Alianza 0-1 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 Oct 2024

Alianza
0-1 HT 0-1
Cacahuatique
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Alianza vs Cacahuatique Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.9pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza v Cacahuatique — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.83/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.25
+6% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Alianza vs Cacahuatique Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cacahuatique
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-3 HT 0-3 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacahuatique edged past Alianza 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Alianza 0-1 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alianza 53%, draw 30%, Cacahuatique 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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