Busan Transportation 2-0 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
56%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
34%
-10.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
56%
Away Win
41%
+15.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.11/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.60
+2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.06.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
13.08.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-0 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
16.04.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-2 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
21.10.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-6 HT 1-2 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.04.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-3 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
03.10.2021 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation got the better of Mokpo City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mokpo City at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Busan Transportation and 2.00 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Mokpo City?

Busan Transportation 2-0 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mokpo City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 23%, draw 21%, Mokpo City 56%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mokpo City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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