Daejeon Korail 0-1 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
37%
-8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.7pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.95/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.06.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
24.06.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
11.03.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 4-2 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.09.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
13.05.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-2 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen nicked a narrow win over Daejeon Korail 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Daejeon Korail at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Daejeon Korail and 2.00 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Siheung Citizen?

Daejeon Korail 0-1 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 43%, draw 28%, Siheung Citizen 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Daejeon Korail) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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