FC Goa 3-3 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 4 Oct 2024

FC Goa
3-3 HT 1-1
NorthEast United
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

FC Goa vs NorthEast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
8%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 29% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Goa v NorthEast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
1.60/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.45
+5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.6 Crosses 13.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

FC Goa vs NorthEast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY NorthEast United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.74 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 Passes 184
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.02.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
29.12.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
15.01.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
17.12.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 2-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
14.01.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-1 HT 1-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
04.12.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL

FC Goa 3-3 NorthEast United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
3-3
AWAY NorthEast United
2.32 xG 0.51
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 142
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa and NorthEast United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Goa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Goa had 69% of the ball to NorthEast United's 31%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.32 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NorthEast United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Goa and 1.50 for NorthEast United.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs NorthEast United?

FC Goa 3-3 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 42%, draw 29%, NorthEast United 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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