Saipa 1-2 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.1
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
25%
-5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.2pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.08/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.71
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
06.04.2024 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
27.10.2023 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
25.02.2023 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
28.09.2022 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 HT 1-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
30.03.2022 Saipa Saipa 0-2 HT 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC squeezed past Saipa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saipa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Saipa and 0.80 for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Saipa 1-2 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Saipa 51%, draw 29%, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saipa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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