Al Arabi 2-0 Al Shahaniya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.54
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
7%
6.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.54 — our 30% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.4pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 18%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.16
-56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +101%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Shahaniya
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.74 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
469 Passes 315
92% Pass Accuracy 86%
33 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
20.02.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
19.09.2019 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
15.03.2015 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Shahaniya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi saw off Al Shahaniya 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Arabi and 0.25 for Al Shahaniya.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Shahaniya?

Al Arabi 2-0 Al Shahaniya in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Shahaniya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 59%, draw 22%, Al Shahaniya 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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