Qatar SC 0-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.0
2-3 Goals
33%
1.95
4-5 Goals
36%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.3pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/2.77
-61% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
Crosses 17.6
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
12.03.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
21.10.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-4 HT 0-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
09.09.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
04.05.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
13.03.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-3 HT 1-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli squeezed past Qatar SC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Qatar SC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qatar SC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Qatar SC and 1.33 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Al Ahli?

Qatar SC 0-1 Al Ahli in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qatar SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 46%, draw 24%, Al Ahli 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Qatar SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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