Qatar SC 1-3 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 12 Mar 2024

Qatar SC
1-3 HT 0-1
Al Ahli
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Qatar League – 2025/2026

Qatar SC vs Al Ahli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.41
No
35%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
5.87
2-3 Goals
33%
2.05
4-5 Goals
33%
2.59
6+ Goals
19%
5.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
67%
-1.7pp
35%
BTTS No
33%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qatar SC v Al Ahli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +23%
1.80/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.81
+26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
26.0 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Qatar SC vs Al Ahli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
307 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-4 HT 0-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
09.09.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
04.05.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
13.03.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-3 HT 1-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
01.10.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KATYK
03.01.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-0 HT 0-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli saw off Qatar SC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Qatar SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qatar SC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Qatar SC and 1.17 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Al Ahli?

Qatar SC 1-3 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qatar SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 43%, draw 25%, Al Ahli 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Qatar SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qatar SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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