Al Rayyan 2-2 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.45
2-3 Goals
42%
2.12
4-5 Goals
25%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.67/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.37
-8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.8 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.00 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
394 Passes 206
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
02.03.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
30.08.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
04.01.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-3 HT 1-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
09.12.2021 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
09.11.2021 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
2-2
AWAY Umm Salal
3.46 xG 1.23
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
517 Passes 158
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
45 Box Touches 12
43 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan and Umm Salal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Rayyan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 72% of the ball to Umm Salal's 28%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 3.46 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Rayyan and 1.17 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?

Al Rayyan 2-2 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 52%, draw 22%, Umm Salal 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Rayyan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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