Qatar SC 0-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.72/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.98
+25% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
21.10.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-4 HT 0-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
09.09.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
04.05.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
13.03.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-3 HT 1-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
01.10.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KATYK
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli edged past Qatar SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Ahli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qatar SC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Qatar SC and 1.50 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Al Ahli?

Qatar SC 0-1 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qatar SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 39%, draw 26%, Al Ahli 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Qatar SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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