Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Oct 2024

Santa Fe
1-1 HT 1-1
Deportivo Pereira
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Deportivo Pereira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -11%
1.21/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.13
+10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
20.5 Crosses 12.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pereira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
264 Passes 249
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
05.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
28.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
25.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
16.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-2 HT 2-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
28.11.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 5-1 HT 4-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL

Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pereira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.07 xG 0.85
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
312 Passes 159
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Deportivo Pereira shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 38%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.07 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Fe and 1.67 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pereira?

Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Pereira 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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