Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -15%
1.13/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.19
-13% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.4 Crosses 16.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
228 Passes 289
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
28.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
25.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
16.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-2 HT 2-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
28.11.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 5-1 HT 4-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
10.11.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-0
AWAY Santa Fe
0.96 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
278 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira nicked a narrow win over Santa Fe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pereira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 50% of the ball to Santa Fe's 50%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.96 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.00 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?

Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 37%, draw 32%, Santa Fe 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
18 Feb 2024
02:05 Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Analysis →
22:00 La Equidad vs Patriotas Boyaca Analysis →