Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin 2-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin and Fortaleza CEIF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente Medellin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 61% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 39%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.08 to 1.80.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Medellin 2-2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 46%, draw 30%, Fortaleza CEIF 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.