La Equidad 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.52/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.57
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
19.9 Crosses 11.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.71 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
292 Passes 219
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 HT 2-2 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
01.08.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 4-3 HT 1-2 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
06.03.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
06.02.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
16.10.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 1-3 HT 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
01.08.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-0
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.45 xG 0.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
25 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
256 Passes 217
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 4
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad squeezed past Patriotas Boyaca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had La Equidad as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, La Equidad had 54% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 46%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.45 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for La Equidad and 1.67 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Patriotas Boyaca?

La Equidad 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 51%, draw 29%, Patriotas Boyaca 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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