Warta Poznan 1-4 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Miedz Legnica win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.43/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.82
+24% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.17 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
274 Passes 390
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2023 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
30.07.2022 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 1-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
27.06.2020 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
29.09.2019 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
30.06.2018 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
1-4
AWAY Miedz Legnica
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica cruised past Warta Poznan 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Miedz Legnica made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 41% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 59%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Warta Poznan and 0.60 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Miedz Legnica?

Warta Poznan 1-4 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 37%, draw 25%, Miedz Legnica 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miedz Legnica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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