Puszcza Niepolomice 0-6 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Oct 2024

Puszcza Niepolomice
0-6 HT 0-2
Katowice
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Puszcza Niepolomice vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.45
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
11%
13.0
X/1
14%
6.22
X/2
15%
5.04
X/X
9%
4.25
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.31
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puszcza Niepolomice v Katowice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.3 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards –

Puszcza Niepolomice vs Katowice Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Katowice
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.05.2023 Katowice Katowice 2-2 HT 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
15.10.2022 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
01.05.2022 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
23.10.2021 Katowice Katowice 1-0 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
04.05.2014 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice POL1

Puszcza Niepolomice 0-6 Katowice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
0-6
AWAY Katowice
1.21 xG 5.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 5
216 Passes 253
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 39
34 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice cruised past Puszcza Niepolomice 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Katowice found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 49% of the ball to Katowice's 51%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.21 to 5.13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Katowice led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.40 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Katowice?

Puszcza Niepolomice 0-6 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puszcza Niepolomice win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 37%, draw 27%, Katowice 36%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
4 Oct 2024
21:30 Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce Analysis →