Torreense vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torreense v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Torreense vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Tondela
POK
1-2
HT 1-1
Torreense
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Torreense
POR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Torreense
PORLC
0-3
HT 0-3
Tondela
POR2
Torreense 0-2 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela beat Torreense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tondela found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Torreense had 71% of the ball to Tondela's 29%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.18 to 2.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Torreense and 1.33 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Torreense vs Tondela?
Torreense 0-2 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torreense vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torreense 36%, draw 26%, Tondela 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.