SSC Farul 1-1 Dinamo Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.99 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.90/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.16
+22% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
13.0 Crosses 10.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest ROM
22.09.2023 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 0-2 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
20.12.2021 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 0-2 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
20.08.2021 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest
1.47 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
412 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Dinamo Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul and Dinamo Bucarest shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Farul at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SSC Farul had 55% of the ball to Dinamo Bucarest's 45%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for SSC Farul and 0.50 for Dinamo Bucarest.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Dinamo Bucarest?

SSC Farul 1-1 Dinamo Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Dinamo Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 47%, draw 26%, Dinamo Bucarest 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SSC Farul), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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