UTA Arad 3-1 Petrolul 52 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrolul 52 EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.21/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.28
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.5 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Petrolul 52
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 1-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
24.02.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
07.10.2023 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
17.03.2023 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
05.11.2022 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 2-1 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
25.07.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-0 HT 1-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
3-1
AWAY Petrolul 52
1.19 xG 1.39
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
178 Passes 493
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Petrolul 52
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad saw off Petrolul 52 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; UTA Arad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UTA Arad had 30% of the ball to Petrolul 52's 70%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.19 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTA Arad and 0.67 for Petrolul 52.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Petrolul 52?

UTA Arad 3-1 Petrolul 52 in the Romania - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Petrolul 52?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 38%, draw 30%, Petrolul 52 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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