Triglav 3-2 Tabor Sezana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.6pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.34/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.07
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tabor Sezana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Triglav Triglav 1-2 HT 1-1 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN2
29.07.2023 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 2-2 HT 1-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
26.05.2022 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 3-1 HT 1-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN
12.07.2020 Triglav Triglav 1-2 HT 0-1 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
05.03.2020 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 3-1 HT 1-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN
26.10.2019 Triglav Triglav 3-2 HT 2-2 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triglav
3-2
AWAY Tabor Sezana
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Tabor Sezana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav edged past Tabor Sezana 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Triglav made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Triglav had 61% of the ball to Tabor Sezana's 39%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tabor Sezana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Triglav and 2.33 for Tabor Sezana.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Tabor Sezana?

Triglav 3-2 Tabor Sezana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Tabor Sezana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Triglav 39%, draw 29%, Tabor Sezana 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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