Rudar Velenje 1-0 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.7
No
58%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
55%
-13.3pp
58%
BTTS No
45%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +1%
1.24/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.19
-24% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bilje
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-2 HT 0-2 Bilje SLVN2
25.09.2023 Bilje 2-2 HT 1-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
09.09.2022 Bilje 4-3 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
23.04.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-0 Bilje SLVN2
09.10.2021 Bilje 0-2 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudar Velenje
1-0
AWAY Bilje
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudar Velenje edged past Bilje 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rudar Velenje as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Rudar Velenje had 47% of the ball to Bilje's 53%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bilje led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Rudar Velenje and 1.80 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Bilje?

Rudar Velenje 1-0 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudar Velenje win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 48%, draw 25%, Bilje 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rudar Velenje), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rudar Velenje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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