Radomlje 2-0 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
7%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 29%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.85/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-44% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nafta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Nafta Nafta 2-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
10.06.2020 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
2-0
AWAY Nafta
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomlje got the better of Nafta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Radomlje made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Radomlje had 55% of the ball to Nafta's 45%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nafta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radomlje and 1.50 for Nafta.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Nafta?

Radomlje 2-0 Nafta in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomlje win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 40%, draw 29%, Nafta 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomlje), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radomlje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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