Arabi 3-0 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

Arabi
3-0 HT 1-0
Al-Ain
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.07/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.05
+58% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Al-Ain
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Arabi 2-2 HT 1-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
28.11.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 1-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
17.05.2023 Arabi 3-1 HT 2-1 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
04.01.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 2-0 HT 2-0 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
3-0
AWAY Al-Ain
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi swept aside Al-Ain 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arabi had 55% of the ball to Al-Ain's 45%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arabi and 1.50 for Al-Ain.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al-Ain?

Arabi 3-0 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arabi 46%, draw 25%, Al-Ain 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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