Arabi 2-2 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

Arabi
2-2 HT 1-0
Al-Ain
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 19%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +22%
2.05/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.81
+22% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +96%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al-Ain
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 1-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
17.05.2023 Arabi 3-1 HT 2-1 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
04.01.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 2-0 HT 2-0 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
2-2
AWAY Al-Ain
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi and Al-Ain shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Arabi had 50% of the ball to Al-Ain's 50%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arabi and 1.33 for Al-Ain.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al-Ain?

Arabi 2-2 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arabi 53%, draw 22%, Al-Ain 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
15 Apr 2024
18:40 Hajer vs Al Bukayriyah Analysis →
20:45 Al Safa vs Al Taraji Analysis →