Hajer 0-1 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajer EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.12/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.69
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajer
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.11.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 2-2 HT 0-2 Hajer Hajer SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajer
0-1
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
43% Ball Possession 57%
2 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hajer vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bukayriyah edged past Hajer 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hajer at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hajer had 43% of the ball to Al Bukayriyah's 57%, shots finished 2-14.

What was the final score of Hajer vs Al Bukayriyah?

Hajer 0-1 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajer vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajer win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hajer 43%, draw 24%, Al Bukayriyah 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hajer) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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