Al Safa 4-1 Al Taraji — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taraji EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Taraji
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2023 Al Taraji Al Taraji 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
4-1
AWAY Al Taraji
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Taraji
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa swept aside Al Taraji 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Safa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 59% of the ball to Al Taraji's 41%, shots finished 18-18.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Taraji?

Al Safa 4-1 Al Taraji in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Taraji?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 48%, draw 27%, Al Taraji 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Safa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Safa) ✗ Under 2.5
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