Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.51
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
21%
3.96
X/2
14%
8.41
X/X
10%
3.98
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
6%
7.23
2/X
12%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.25
+30% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.9 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boluspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.13
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 376
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
01.10.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
25.12.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
16.04.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
20.11.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-2 HT 2-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
01.02.2020 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1-0
AWAY Boluspor
1.41 xG 0.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
314 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK squeezed past Boluspor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 48% of the ball to Boluspor's 52%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.17 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Boluspor?

Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 46%, draw 27%, Boluspor 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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