Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Oct 2024

Çaykur Rizespor
2-1 HT 2-0
Antalyaspor
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Çaykur Rizespor vs Antalyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.38
X/2
10%
8.15
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
13%
5.87
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çaykur Rizespor v Antalyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.71/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.49
+6% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.8 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Çaykur Rizespor vs Antalyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
308 Passes 382
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
26.11.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
20.01.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
27.08.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
16.04.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
24.12.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL

Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 Antalyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2-1
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.84 xG 1.79
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
207 Passes 511
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 33
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor squeezed past Antalyaspor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 33% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 67%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.84 to 1.79 — on chances, Antalyaspor could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.17 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Antalyaspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 44%, draw 27%, Antalyaspor 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Over 2.5
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