Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 28% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.61
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.62
X/2
10%
7.51
X/X
13%
5.31
2/1
10%
22.3
2/2
13%
5.13
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.67/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.49
+12% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.1 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
335 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
20.01.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
27.08.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
16.04.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
24.12.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
22.06.2020 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.26 xG 1.11
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
237 Passes 522
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor swept aside Antalyaspor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 33% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 67%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.26 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.67 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Antalyaspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 43%, draw 27%, Antalyaspor 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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