Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
1-2
HT 1-0
Fenerbahçe
TSL
5-4
HT 2-2
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
1-1
HT 1-1
Fenerbahçe
TSL
1-2
HT 0-1
Fenerbahçe
TSL
Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe edged past Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 45% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 55%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.92 to 2.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fenerbahçe's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 2.00 for Fenerbahçe.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe?
Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 25%, draw 19%, Fenerbahçe 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.