CA River Plate 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.40/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.10
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
214 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
191 Passes 319
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
06.12.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
13.05.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
13.10.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
22.05.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
17.03.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CA River Plate had 55% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 45%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA River Plate and 1.00 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

CA River Plate 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 33%, draw 29%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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