Port Vale 0-0 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.59
Over
42%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.32
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
18%
4.66
6+
4%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.45
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
19%
4.0
X/2
7%
8.55
X/X
17%
4.18
2/1
3%
29.0
2/2
10%
7.68
2/X
5%
17.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Port Vale The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town The Market 24%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
1.03 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
Weak Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
284 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 67%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Northampton Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
248 Passes 213
62% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
16.09.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
12.02.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
07.08.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
08.02.2020 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
10.08.2019 Port Vale Port Vale 1-1 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
0 - 0
AWAY Northampton Town
0.66 xG 0.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
257 Passes 175
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Port Vale vs Northampton Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Port Vale and Northampton Town cancelled each other out in a 0-0. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Port Vale at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (58%) landed.

On the day, possession split 56% to 44% in Port Vale's favour, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.66 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Port Vale against 0.67 for Northampton Town.

Port Vale vs Northampton Town Result & Final Score

Port Vale 0 - 0 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Port Vale vs Northampton Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 55%, draw 26%, Northampton Town 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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