Port Vale 0-0 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.45
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
16%
4.0
X/2
7%
8.55
X/X
11%
4.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
2/2
9%
7.68
2/X
7%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.3pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
0.93/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.30
-15% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
284 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 67%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.4 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Northampton Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
248 Passes 213
62% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
16.09.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
12.02.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
07.08.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
08.02.2020 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
10.08.2019 Port Vale Port Vale 1-1 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
0-0
AWAY Northampton Town
0.66 xG 0.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
257 Passes 175
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Port Vale vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale and Northampton Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Port Vale had 56% of the ball to Northampton Town's 44%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.66 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Port Vale and 0.67 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Port Vale vs Northampton Town?

Port Vale 0-0 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 54%, draw 24%, Northampton Town 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Port Vale), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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