Northampton Town 2-0 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.82
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.26
X/2
11%
5.41
X/X
11%
4.06
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
19%
3.98
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
+17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
232 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
16.7 Crosses 21.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Port Vale
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.54 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
204 Passes 228
62% Pass Accuracy 59%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
12.02.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
07.08.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
08.02.2020 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
10.08.2019 Port Vale Port Vale 1-1 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
30.03.2019 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
2-0
AWAY Port Vale
1.11 xG 0.91
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
261 Passes 351
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town beat Port Vale 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Northampton Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Northampton Town had 45% of the ball to Port Vale's 55%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.11 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Northampton Town and 0.83 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Port Vale?

Northampton Town 2-0 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 39%, draw 26%, Port Vale 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northampton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northampton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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