Bolton Wanderers 5-2 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
15%
3.85
X/2
8%
11.15
X/X
12%
5.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
10%
8.35
2/X
8%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.70/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.68
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.2 Crosses 14.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Reading
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.41
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
188 Passes 422
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Reading Reading 2-1 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
29.01.2019 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
18.08.2018 Reading Reading 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
06.03.2018 Reading Reading 1-1 HT 1-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
21.11.2017 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-0 Reading Reading İNCL
02.04.2016 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
5-2
AWAY Reading
2.73 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 3
407 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
49 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers cruised past Reading 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 57% of the ball to Reading's 43%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.73 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.17 for Reading.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Reading?

Bolton Wanderers 5-2 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 52%, draw 25%, Reading 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
1 Apr 2024
17:00 Northampton Town vs Port Vale Analysis →
17:00 Oxford United vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
17:00 Burton Albion vs Barnsley Analysis →
17:00 Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Charlton Athletic vs Stevenage Analysis →
17:00 Blackpool vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →