Cambridge United 3-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

Cambridge United
3-1 HT 1-0
Wigan Athletic
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
14%
5.03
X/2
10%
5.59
X/X
11%
3.89
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
20%
4.28
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambridge United v Wigan Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.18/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.21
-22% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 68%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.5 Crosses 17.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 1.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
217 Passes 434
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
16.04.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
23.11.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-2 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
05.03.2002 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 4-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
25.09.2001 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-2 HT 1-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
28.04.2001 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 1-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1

Cambridge United 3-1 Wigan Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
3-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.54 xG 1.60
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
134 Passes 382
53% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United saw off Wigan Athletic 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Cambridge United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cambridge United had 33% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 67%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.54 to 1.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wigan Athletic.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cambridge United and 2.17 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic?

Cambridge United 3-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 37%, draw 27%, Wigan Athletic 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambridge United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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