Umea FC 1-0 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 4 Oct 2025

Umea FC
1-0 HT 1-0
Helsingborgs IF
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Umea FC vs Helsingborgs IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.83
X/2
14%
5.07
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
21%
2.96
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umea FC v Helsingborgs IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.66/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.13
-52% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Umea FC vs Helsingborgs IF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.06.2025 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 5-1 HT 1-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC edged past Helsingborgs IF 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Helsingborgs IF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Helsingborgs IF?

Umea FC 1-0 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 28%, draw 29%, Helsingborgs IF 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Helsingborgs IF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
4 Oct 2025
14:00 Östersunds FK vs Vasteras SK FK Analysis →
16:00 IK Brage vs Kalmar Analysis →