Haga 1-1 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
14%
4.49
Away
69%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.23
Over 2.5
69%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+2.3pp
14%
Draw
19%
-5.1pp
69%
Away Win
66%
+2.8pp
31%
Under 2.5
41%
-10.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
59%
+10.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haga EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 71%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.61/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/1.14
-47% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haga
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Motala AIF FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
05.04.2025 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 5-2 HT 2-1 Haga İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haga
1-1
AWAY Motala AIF FK
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haga vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haga and Motala AIF FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Motala AIF FK at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Haga had 37% of the ball to Motala AIF FK's 63%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of Haga vs Motala AIF FK?

Haga 1-1 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haga vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Haga 17%, draw 14%, Motala AIF FK 69%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motala AIF FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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